Security

Libyan strongman loses ground as rift widens with Kremlin-backed mercenaries

By Caravanserai

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A fighter loyal to Libya's UN-recognised Government of National Accord stands next to a destroyed car following bombardment earlier by forces from strongman Khalifa Haftar, who is supported by Russia's Wagner Group, in Tripoli on May 9th. [Mahmud Turkia/AFP]

As Libya's unity government appears to be gaining ground, a rift is growing between Libyan military strongman Khalifa Haftar and the Kremlin-backed mercenaries sent to help buoy his attempts to take over the country, sources say.

The rift is over Haftar's unpaid debt to the Wagner Group, a private paramilitary organisation that serves the agenda of Russian President Vladimir Putin, a military source close to Haftar told the Arabic Post website. The debt amounts to $150 million.

Haftar refused to pay off the contract when it ended last year, not because he lacks the funds but because the Russians failed to carry out their side of the deal, the source said.

The Wagner Group sent inexperienced and ineffective "rookie fighters" from Syria, Belarus and Serbia to Libya, the source said.

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Group Captain Muhammad Qanunu, military spokesperson of the Libyan Government of National Accord (GNA) forces, stands by a partially disassembled MiG-23 aircraft, after seizing al-Watiya air base, south-west of Tripoli, on May 18th, from forces loyal to Kremlin-backed strongman Khalifa Haftar. [Mahmud Turkia/AFP]

A number of Arab media outlets have reported on the Wagner Group's massive efforts to recruit Syrian youths.

Haftar's cronies have been in constant disputes with the Wagner mercenaries sent to Libya, the source said, citing their inexperience and ineffectiveness.

Pro-Haftar military leaders also expressed dismay at the Wagner Group's inability to defend against Government of National Accord (GNA) drones, the Arabic Post reported.

Haftar losing ground

Over two days in April, the GNA captured seven towns from the Libyan National Army (LNA), which is allied with Haftar, the GNA announced April 13th.

The same day, Col. Muhammad Qanunu said the GNA's air defences intercepted planes belonging to Haftar in the Abu Grain area and shot down two Chinese-made aircraft and one Russian Mi-35 helicopter, Al-Jazeera reported.

The operational successes signified a change in the GNA's strategy from defensive to offensive, analysts said.

On Monday (May 18th), the GNA announced further wins against forces loyal to Haftar.

"We proudly announce the liberation of al-Watiya base," 140 kilometres south-west of Tripoli, said GNA Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj.

"Today's success is not the end of the battle, but it brings us closer than ever to victory when all cities and regions will be liberated and the tyrannical bid threatening democracy crushed," he said in a statement.

In recent weeks, pro-GNA forces have stepped up airstrikes against Haftar's fighters, targeting their supply lines around al-Watiya.

GNA forces spokesman Mohamad Gnounou said they had destroyed three Russian-made anti-aircraft systems in the air base since May 17th.

The reported capture of al-Watiya comes after a weeks-long siege by pro-GNA forces of the base used by Haftar's air force.

Haftar's men blame the mounting losses in part on the inefficiency of Wagner Group mercenaries, the Arabic Post reported.

Wagner Group snipers and fighters are in Tarhouna and Qasir Benghashir in southern Tripoli, according to the website, while the group's mercenaries based in Tobruk and Derna ports are helping with logistics, artillery and drone support.

Moscow's escalating Libyan conflict

Thousands of Wagner Group contractors are said to be doing the Kremlin's bidding in several foreign conflicts including in Syria, Ukraine, the Central African Republic and Libya.

Between 800 and 1,200 fighters from the Wagner Group are backing Haftar, who has been waging an offensive for over a year against GNA, the UN Security Council said May 6th.

Putin has denied that Russians are on the ground in Libya.

Russian support to Haftar "has led to a significant escalation of the conflict and a worsening of the humanitarian situation in Libya", said Chris Robinson, a US State Department official who focuses on Russia.

"Wagner is often misleadingly referred to as a Russian private security company, but in fact it is an instrument of the Russian government which the Kremlin uses as a low-cost and low-risk instrument to advance its goals," he told reporters on May 7th.

Images of "very heavy and advanced weapons" in Libya from the Wagner Group indicated it was not a mere private company, he said.

The Wagner Group's support for Haftar's forces is disrespectful to Libya's sovereignty and regional security, US Ambassador to Libya Richard Norland told London-based Al-Quds Al-Arabi newspaper on May 16th.

It is unlikely the Kremlin will reverse course on Libya, which has joined Syria as a theatre for Moscow's renewed influence in the region, said Henry Wooster, US deputy assistant secretary of State for the Maghreb and Egypt.

"No one should think that Russia is going to pack up and leave now that they have invested in the Libyan conflict," he said.

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The mercenaries are those who are supported by Turkey, I mean Israel. The Muslim Brotherhood’s government of national accord is the entity that will drag Libya to war. It has actually done so by seeking the help of other countries and Turkey’s mercenaries. God willing, they will lose because God is there. Don’t you feel ashamed when you write 800 or 1,200 supported by so and so company? You should be ashamed of yourself.

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