Analysis

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  Analysis

  2023-07-28

  Russia fails to deliver Su-35s to Iran, triggering speculation over health of alliance

  Amid the commotion surrounding the delivery of Su-35s, it became clear in July that the long-awaited fighters would not arrive, with neither government offering an explanation.

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  Analysis

  2023-07-21

  Mali's release of 2 ISIS elements raises security concerns

  Mali's prisoner exchange agreement with ISIS in the Greater Sahara will not bring security to Mali or its neighbours in the Sahel region, analysts warn.

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  Analysis

  2023-07-13

  Wagner's failed rebellion exacerbates national security fault lines in Russia

  The conflict of interests between Russia's elites will ultimately lead to the complete collapse of the Russian regime, observers are predicting. The current troubles are 'just the beginning'.

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  Analysis

  2023-07-13

  Africans continue to endure consequences of Russian war after mediation fails

  Africa continues to suffer greatly from high prices of cereal and fertilisers, and following a failed mediation effort by African leaders to end Ukraine war, nothing looks likely to change.

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  Analysis

  2023-06-21

  After al-Zawahiri demise, al-Qaeda may shift nexus to Yemen

  Al-Qaeda might move its power base to Yemen, where its Iran-based de facto leader has influence and the group collaborates with the Houthis.

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  Analysis

  2023-05-26

  Amid domestic dissent and near-bankruptcy, Iranian regime clings to power

  As outrage over executions, social issues and sky-high inflation causes chaos in Tehran, Iran's leadership appears to be feeling the strain.

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  Analysis

  2023-05-23

  Iran intensifies efforts to indoctrinate locals, seize property in eastern Syria

  Iran is making efforts to manipulate the region's demographics, including by acquiring real estate after destroying or forging documents that demonstrate proof of ownership.

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  Analysis

  2023-05-15

  Obstacles litter road to Arab states' full normalisation with Syria

  With the regime's deep involvement in the drug trade, the presence of Iran and Russia-backed militias inside Syria, and an unresolved refugee crisis, talk of normailisation appears premature.

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  Analysis

  2023-03-30

  In Middle East and beyond, Iranian drones threaten security, stability

  Iran's manufacture and export of UAV equipment and training to regional proxies and at least five governments pose an escalating threat.

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  Analysis

  2023-03-29

  Rank nepotism enables unconstitutional rise of Khamenei's son as de facto successor

  The Iranian leader's second son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has the unconstitutional carte blanche in decision-making, particularly within the IRGC.